Post by lostabroad2 on Aug 7, 2016 23:33:46 GMT -5
I'm sure some NFLFF members will be involved in their own Pick'ems either here or on other forums but this is just a quick recce to see if there's enough interest for me to run very different 2nd Pick’em here for anyone interested. Basically I ran a trial version on 1 site last year and I’d like to run several tournaments this year on various sites. The game is 19-Handicap. It’s a straight Pick’em but the difference is in the scoring system. In a normal straight Pick’em you get 1 point, (or the same points), for each game where you pick the winner. In this game you’ll get 19 points for each winner plus or minus the ESPN handicap. So…if your winning pick is a small underdog you’ll get a few more points. If your winning pick is a small favourite you’ll get a few less points. If the team is a big underdog you’ll get a lot more points…and so on.
Essentially this is a Pick’em against the Vegas money line. This is not a Pick’em variation you are likely to see elsewhere so if you thinking about joining a Pick’em please take this into consideration.
In a normal straight Pick’em are there no score variations so it makes little sense to pick against the perceived favourite. Last year everyone in the top 40 of the my preferred site Pick’em picked the 10.5 point favourite Bengals to beat the Browns and no-one picked the 9.5 point underdog Bears to beat the Packers. This Pick’em deals with that as a winning 10.5 point favourite will score 8 points and a winning 10.5 point underdog will score 29 points. There is a much greater incentive to pick hunches and the penalty for being wrong is much smaller. As craig440 might say - you get odds. This is a big plus if you want to pick a team to win every game or lose every game, (1 competitor picked the Patriots to lose every game last year). Picking a team that’s a 70-30 underdog will be a break even score if they win 30% of the time. If they win more than 30% of the time it will be a winning strategy. Obviously if they win less than 30% it will still be a losing strategy, (although less devastating to your Pick’em score than under a 1-point-for-each-win system). The same is true if picking a hated 70-30 favourite to lose. If they win less than 70% you’re going to score well. If they win more than 70% you’re going to score badly.
Because favourites score less and underdogs score more the leading competitors will probably have a much smaller lead over a bunched field going into the final weeks. With big weekly scores possible with underdog victories it will be much more likely for someone to make a come-from-behind bid for glory. Even someone 120 to 150 points behind could still win.
This game is about the quality of your picks rather than racking up wins by picking every favourite. The person who wins this game might not be the person who picked the most overall winners.
Elsewhere i'm going with a weekly prize and prizes for the top 3 overall.However, this site doesn't have an in-built money system so I can't make this a $NFLFF event and I don't want real cash involved.
Game picks could be made by posting them openly in the this thread, sending me a PM, or by posting them on an ESPN Pick’em game board. (I would prefer the later option for those who like to keep changing their picks and either of the 1st 2 options for those who generally don’t).
If you’re interested in playing please let me know in this thread. Ideally i'd want 15 to 40 participants but i'd probably go ahead with as few as 12.
Thanks for your time.
Essentially this is a Pick’em against the Vegas money line. This is not a Pick’em variation you are likely to see elsewhere so if you thinking about joining a Pick’em please take this into consideration.
In a normal straight Pick’em are there no score variations so it makes little sense to pick against the perceived favourite. Last year everyone in the top 40 of the my preferred site Pick’em picked the 10.5 point favourite Bengals to beat the Browns and no-one picked the 9.5 point underdog Bears to beat the Packers. This Pick’em deals with that as a winning 10.5 point favourite will score 8 points and a winning 10.5 point underdog will score 29 points. There is a much greater incentive to pick hunches and the penalty for being wrong is much smaller. As craig440 might say - you get odds. This is a big plus if you want to pick a team to win every game or lose every game, (1 competitor picked the Patriots to lose every game last year). Picking a team that’s a 70-30 underdog will be a break even score if they win 30% of the time. If they win more than 30% of the time it will be a winning strategy. Obviously if they win less than 30% it will still be a losing strategy, (although less devastating to your Pick’em score than under a 1-point-for-each-win system). The same is true if picking a hated 70-30 favourite to lose. If they win less than 70% you’re going to score well. If they win more than 70% you’re going to score badly.
Because favourites score less and underdogs score more the leading competitors will probably have a much smaller lead over a bunched field going into the final weeks. With big weekly scores possible with underdog victories it will be much more likely for someone to make a come-from-behind bid for glory. Even someone 120 to 150 points behind could still win.
This game is about the quality of your picks rather than racking up wins by picking every favourite. The person who wins this game might not be the person who picked the most overall winners.
Elsewhere i'm going with a weekly prize and prizes for the top 3 overall.However, this site doesn't have an in-built money system so I can't make this a $NFLFF event and I don't want real cash involved.
Game picks could be made by posting them openly in the this thread, sending me a PM, or by posting them on an ESPN Pick’em game board. (I would prefer the later option for those who like to keep changing their picks and either of the 1st 2 options for those who generally don’t).
If you’re interested in playing please let me know in this thread. Ideally i'd want 15 to 40 participants but i'd probably go ahead with as few as 12.
Thanks for your time.