Post by lostabroad2 on Dec 6, 2016 15:21:37 GMT -5
Week 13 became a 2nd 'Happy Time' for the submariners of the 19-Handicap Pick'em with the group as a whole scoring well over 50%. The 14 games provided a maximum score of 222 which was slightly below the expected 16.25 points per game average and generally those lower scores are because the games go the way they are expected to. Most players avoided the false favourite trap teams, (that's Jets and 49ers to you and me), but some of us were suckered to the honey pot, "cough" "cough". @dag*** swept all before him with 171 points on Sunday, (even the Jets couldn't put a crimp in his style), whilst @dol*** extended his narrow overall lead with a very solid 133.
The best possible score was 222
Dag*** 171
TK4*** 160
TonOdanK 160
Dod*** 149
cvr*** 145
Riv*** 142
dol*** 133
Tro* 132
LAC*** 131
Lum*** 129
Bri*** 127
Dav*** 123
Old*** 123
Flo*** 107
Ram*** 107
lostabroad2 106
Rho*** 98
Auto-pick scores:
Roland (every road team) 97
Hobart (every home team) 125
Fanny (every favourite) 134
Undra (every underdog) 88
Max (maximum system theory) 106
Minnie (minimum system theory) 116
*** Bookie (Thursday ML) 88
Cumulative scores:
The best possible score was 2953.5
dol*** 1628
TK4*** 1611.5
TonOdanK 1603.5
Flo*** 1598
cvr*** 1596.5
Lum*** 1572.5
Rho*** 1571.5
Riv*** 1555.5
Dag*** 1521.5
Dav*** 1518.5
Ram*** 1501.5
Tro* 1494
Dod*** 1450.5
Old*** 1424.5
lostabroad2 1420.5
LAC*** 1361
Jor*** 1177
Ken 1094
Bri*** 959.5
Ath** 775
Auto-pick scores:
Roland (every road team) 1460.5
Hobart (every home team) 1509.5
Fanny (every favourite) 1424.5
Undra (every underdog) 1545.5
Max (maximum system theory) 1565.5
Minnie (minimum system theory) 1404.5
*** Bookie (Thursday ML) 1564
A good week for favourites and home teams whilst picking for value backfired. For the season as a whole picking for value and taking underdogs in tight games has been a solid strategy.
4 Weeks remain and the top 8 are separated by what equates to just under 5 picks. All the bye-weeks have finished so at least 15 games will now count each week as we head towards the finish line. More games means more points available and the chance for even bigger weekly swings. Players who are 120+ points off the lead still aren't out of this, but it'll probably take more than 1 week to get to the top. I'll be back later with the Week 14 handicaps and points scoring choices.
Alternative leaderboard based on Points won % out of points contested. (Mostly for those who have missed picks/weeks and want to see how their performance really compares):
Name %
Bri*** 55.18
dol*** 54.87
TK4*** 54.31
Flo*** 54.17
TonOdanK 54.03
cvr*** 53.80
Lum*** 52.98
Rho*** 52.95
Riv*** 52.40
Dod*** 52.27
Ath** 52.26
Ken 51.75
Dag*** 51.24
Dav*** 51.14
Jor*** 51.12
Ram*** 50.56
Tro* 50.31
Old*** 47.94
lostabroad2 47.80
LAC*** 46.09
As a whole the group is 51.78%. (28145 points out of a possible 54352.5).
The best possible score was 222
Dag*** 171
TK4*** 160
TonOdanK 160
Dod*** 149
cvr*** 145
Riv*** 142
dol*** 133
Tro* 132
LAC*** 131
Lum*** 129
Bri*** 127
Dav*** 123
Old*** 123
Flo*** 107
Ram*** 107
lostabroad2 106
Rho*** 98
Auto-pick scores:
Roland (every road team) 97
Hobart (every home team) 125
Fanny (every favourite) 134
Undra (every underdog) 88
Max (maximum system theory) 106
Minnie (minimum system theory) 116
*** Bookie (Thursday ML) 88
Cumulative scores:
The best possible score was 2953.5
dol*** 1628
TK4*** 1611.5
TonOdanK 1603.5
Flo*** 1598
cvr*** 1596.5
Lum*** 1572.5
Rho*** 1571.5
Riv*** 1555.5
Dag*** 1521.5
Dav*** 1518.5
Ram*** 1501.5
Tro* 1494
Dod*** 1450.5
Old*** 1424.5
lostabroad2 1420.5
LAC*** 1361
Jor*** 1177
Ken 1094
Bri*** 959.5
Ath** 775
Auto-pick scores:
Roland (every road team) 1460.5
Hobart (every home team) 1509.5
Fanny (every favourite) 1424.5
Undra (every underdog) 1545.5
Max (maximum system theory) 1565.5
Minnie (minimum system theory) 1404.5
*** Bookie (Thursday ML) 1564
A good week for favourites and home teams whilst picking for value backfired. For the season as a whole picking for value and taking underdogs in tight games has been a solid strategy.
4 Weeks remain and the top 8 are separated by what equates to just under 5 picks. All the bye-weeks have finished so at least 15 games will now count each week as we head towards the finish line. More games means more points available and the chance for even bigger weekly swings. Players who are 120+ points off the lead still aren't out of this, but it'll probably take more than 1 week to get to the top. I'll be back later with the Week 14 handicaps and points scoring choices.
Alternative leaderboard based on Points won % out of points contested. (Mostly for those who have missed picks/weeks and want to see how their performance really compares):
Name %
Bri*** 55.18
dol*** 54.87
TK4*** 54.31
Flo*** 54.17
TonOdanK 54.03
cvr*** 53.80
Lum*** 52.98
Rho*** 52.95
Riv*** 52.40
Dod*** 52.27
Ath** 52.26
Ken 51.75
Dag*** 51.24
Dav*** 51.14
Jor*** 51.12
Ram*** 50.56
Tro* 50.31
Old*** 47.94
lostabroad2 47.80
LAC*** 46.09
As a whole the group is 51.78%. (28145 points out of a possible 54352.5).