Post by Juggs on Mar 6, 2014 22:15:17 GMT -5
I'm sure most will laugh at this thread or disagree with it, but there are a few players I do NOT want the Titans or any team in the high first round to take. If I'm commenting on anybody, it's not because of rumors, it's because I've watched their games. I'm not saying all of these guys will fail in the NFL, but they are getting too much praise right now.
Try to enjoy (or learn from) the hate.
#1 Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson:
Unless he gets drafted by the Broncos he's going to get awfully bored his rookie year. Turn on his game film. Screen, screen, incompletion, slant, go route, screen, screen, drop, screen, slant, screen. That's pretty much what he is. Elite tools? Yes. Total apparent lack of experience and strong armed QB? Also yes. People are comparing him to AJ Green, but I see him best case as a Percy Harvin / DaSean Jackson. Worst case: Darius Heyward-Bey. If Watkins is the next Calvin or AJ, why was he not the #1 guy at any point during the 2013 regular season, or even #2. Most I saw had Marqise Lee #1, D'anthony Thomas (LOL) #2, and Mike Evans #3. I just don't see the same prototype WR that most do.
#2 Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn:
I've harped about this one a lot so I'll keep it short. What had he done prior to the last five games of his junior year? Not much on tape. His offense exploded around him and Tre Mason gives him most of the credit he gets. When Mason broke off big runs, it wasn't Robinson on the second level. He was mostly just handling a one on one, usually unrelated to the protection or the other blocks. I think he's going to be a solid pass blocking left tackle, but drafting him at #2 is insane.
#3 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M:
This has ZERO to due with the off the field rumors. But watching his game tape, he's extremely inconsistent with his accuracy and he really did make his money improvising. That might work great in the NFL, but it could also make him a massive bust. He doesn't even look to throw or keep his eyes up field scrambling. It's either, make the defender miss and heave OR scramble immediately. I think Manziel shouldn't start week 1 even if he's drafted top 10. Remember Locker didn't start until week 1 his second year, and he and Manziel are somewhat similar. Astute forum-goers might remember that I used to be totally behind Manziel. I admit I'm being hypocritical, but just watching him like any other QB and not getting caught up in the magic, I don't think he should go in the first round.
#4 Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri:
This guy has wavered in stock from top 10 to the bottom of the first round, but I suspect he's going to fall really far. He's faster, bigger, and an drastically better prospect than his teammate Micheal Sam, yet he underproduced when they were both lined up together. And don't say he was double teamed and drew more coverages. That was Sam. Ealy routinely got beat 1 on 1, and when he did draw doubles, he just looked bad. I'm not a qualified judge of defensive end technique, but there was something holding him back at Missouri when he should have been outproducing the SEC player of the year. I don't see him overcoming his enigmatic problems in the NFL. Ealy, like SO many players over the years, have received the benefit of being the implied "second best" player at the position, behind an elite name like Clowney. This has given him an automatic elevation in status that I don't think he earned last year.
#5 Calvin Pryor, FS, Louisville
Again, Pryor benefited draft stock wise from being the "second best" behind the obvious #1 safety. So much so that many mock drafts and rankings will put him above Clinton-Dix, mostly just to seem original or bold. Pryor has much weaker range and worse coverage abilities, and he's just OK playing inside the box as a strong safety. If you want a guy with great range, there are better safeties for that. Draft Dion Bailey. There are better hitters. Draft Craig Loston. And that's not including the seemingly obvious choice in Clinton-Dix. He doesn't jump out on tape as special in coverage or in the box. What else does a safety do? Why is he the consensus #2? I really couldn't tell you other than "he's the second best safety" which is all anyone can seem to say about guys who are locked in at #2 behind the consensus first choice.
Try to enjoy (or learn from) the hate.
#1 Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson:
Unless he gets drafted by the Broncos he's going to get awfully bored his rookie year. Turn on his game film. Screen, screen, incompletion, slant, go route, screen, screen, drop, screen, slant, screen. That's pretty much what he is. Elite tools? Yes. Total apparent lack of experience and strong armed QB? Also yes. People are comparing him to AJ Green, but I see him best case as a Percy Harvin / DaSean Jackson. Worst case: Darius Heyward-Bey. If Watkins is the next Calvin or AJ, why was he not the #1 guy at any point during the 2013 regular season, or even #2. Most I saw had Marqise Lee #1, D'anthony Thomas (LOL) #2, and Mike Evans #3. I just don't see the same prototype WR that most do.
#2 Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn:
I've harped about this one a lot so I'll keep it short. What had he done prior to the last five games of his junior year? Not much on tape. His offense exploded around him and Tre Mason gives him most of the credit he gets. When Mason broke off big runs, it wasn't Robinson on the second level. He was mostly just handling a one on one, usually unrelated to the protection or the other blocks. I think he's going to be a solid pass blocking left tackle, but drafting him at #2 is insane.
#3 Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M:
This has ZERO to due with the off the field rumors. But watching his game tape, he's extremely inconsistent with his accuracy and he really did make his money improvising. That might work great in the NFL, but it could also make him a massive bust. He doesn't even look to throw or keep his eyes up field scrambling. It's either, make the defender miss and heave OR scramble immediately. I think Manziel shouldn't start week 1 even if he's drafted top 10. Remember Locker didn't start until week 1 his second year, and he and Manziel are somewhat similar. Astute forum-goers might remember that I used to be totally behind Manziel. I admit I'm being hypocritical, but just watching him like any other QB and not getting caught up in the magic, I don't think he should go in the first round.
#4 Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri:
This guy has wavered in stock from top 10 to the bottom of the first round, but I suspect he's going to fall really far. He's faster, bigger, and an drastically better prospect than his teammate Micheal Sam, yet he underproduced when they were both lined up together. And don't say he was double teamed and drew more coverages. That was Sam. Ealy routinely got beat 1 on 1, and when he did draw doubles, he just looked bad. I'm not a qualified judge of defensive end technique, but there was something holding him back at Missouri when he should have been outproducing the SEC player of the year. I don't see him overcoming his enigmatic problems in the NFL. Ealy, like SO many players over the years, have received the benefit of being the implied "second best" player at the position, behind an elite name like Clowney. This has given him an automatic elevation in status that I don't think he earned last year.
#5 Calvin Pryor, FS, Louisville
Again, Pryor benefited draft stock wise from being the "second best" behind the obvious #1 safety. So much so that many mock drafts and rankings will put him above Clinton-Dix, mostly just to seem original or bold. Pryor has much weaker range and worse coverage abilities, and he's just OK playing inside the box as a strong safety. If you want a guy with great range, there are better safeties for that. Draft Dion Bailey. There are better hitters. Draft Craig Loston. And that's not including the seemingly obvious choice in Clinton-Dix. He doesn't jump out on tape as special in coverage or in the box. What else does a safety do? Why is he the consensus #2? I really couldn't tell you other than "he's the second best safety" which is all anyone can seem to say about guys who are locked in at #2 behind the consensus first choice.